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Labor Market Effects of Credit Constraints: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Fed Reserve Bank Dallas, Dallas, TX 75201 USA.;Univ Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242 USA..
Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute for Housing and Urban Research. Uppsala University, Disciplinary Domain of Humanities and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics, Uppsala Center for Fiscal Studies.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6016-0546
2024 (English)In: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, ISSN 1945-7731, E-ISSN 1945-774X, Vol. 16, no 3, p. 1-26Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We exploit the 1997 and 2003 constitutional amendments in Texas- allowing home equity loans and lines of credit for nonhousing purposes-as natural experiments to estimate the effect of easier credit access on the labor market. Using state-level as well as micro data, we find that easier access to housing credit led to a notably lower labor force participation rate between 1997 and 2007. Our findings are remarkably robust to improved synthetic control methods based on insights from machine learning. Our research shows that negative labor market effects of easier credit access are important for assessing its stimulative impact on overall growth. ( JEL C45, G21, G51, J16, J22)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Economic Association, 2024. Vol. 16, no 3, p. 1-26
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Economics
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URN: urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-538859DOI: 10.1257/pol.20200683ISI: 001306770300001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:uu-538859DiVA, id: diva2:1906439
Available from: 2024-10-17 Created: 2024-10-17 Last updated: 2025-11-17Bibliographically approved

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Liang, Che-Yuan

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